Category Archives: Predictions

The Future: Fiction vs. Fact

This is getting ridiculous. I keep making jokes (in print) that come true or at least get seriously discussed. How far-fetched do you now have to make things in order that they remain fiction or speculation? I had the idea … Continue reading

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Inevitable Surprises

I don’t know if this will ever make it into a book, but I wrote this over a year ago and given what’s happening with Brexit it’s perhaps worth putting out there… Chapter 1: Thinking straight “If we could first … Continue reading

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Predictions about the Future

“Every prediction, consciously or unconsciously, is a critique of both present and past” (Source: me having a rare moment of clarity) Image: futuristic city wallpapers

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Thinking too far ahead

One thing I have learned over the past 14 years is that you can be right about something and nobody listens. It’s all about timing and whom people listen to.You can be too early with an observation or prediction much … Continue reading

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In the future everyone will be anonymous for 15-minutes

In the future everyone will aspire to disappear for 15-minutes. But only the very rich and the very poor will achieve anything approaching total disconnection. Privacy will become the ultimate status symbol along with time.

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Predictions for 2018 (from 1968)

Lovely article in The New Yorker (part above) about what a bunch of smart people in 1968 thought 2018 might look like. Lots of things way off the mark, but a few, especially around climate change and computing, that are … Continue reading

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Why technology forecasting goes wrong

Lovely set of pieces in Slate on the Future of the Future. One article in particular caught my eye, which is an analysis of 81 technology articles and press releases going back to the 1990s in which things are said … Continue reading

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Prediction of the month

In the future we will insure our memories

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The re-invention of public libraries

It’s funny. The moment someone declares something as dead, chances are that whatever it is (vinyl records, fountain pens, paper books, watches, dumb-phones, bespoke tailoring, cinema, polaroid cameras, postcards, beer, butter, cider, cycling, Russia …) it reappears, often with renewed … Continue reading

Posted in Extinctions/disappearances, Forecasts & forecasting, Libraries, Predictions | Tagged | Leave a comment

Quote of the Week (quote of our times)

“C’est la vie, say the old folks, it goes to show you never can tell.”

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