Category Archives: Predictions

One Question about the Future

Posted on May 7, 2011 by Richard

I’m doing a TEDex talk in Munich next month and originally intended to do something around The Architecture of Thinking (Alternative title: Can Buildings Have Brains?). However, one of the organisers has put me off. Instead I’m doing the Perils … Continue reading →

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Predictions for the next 25 years

Posted on January 15, 2011 by Richard

The Observer newspaper recently asked a group of experts for some predictions for what might happen over the next 25 years. Here’s some extracts from the predictions, together with my own comments. Thanks to Bradley who sent me the original … Continue reading →

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Forensic phenotyping – part 2

Posted on January 9, 2011 by Richard

Here we go. Further to my post on forensic phenotyping (Jan 6), here’s something from my book Future Files (2007). If you are charged with a criminal offence in the UK, a sample of your DNA is taken and added … Continue reading →

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Forensic phenotyping

Posted on January 6, 2011 by Richard

I’m trying to write something about prediction for Fast Company magazine. So far all I’ve got is this from Aston Webb, a Victorian architect, talking about London in the year 2014 from the perspective of 1914: “There are two great … Continue reading →

Posted in Policing/intelligence, Predictions | 1 Comment

Timeline of Failed Predictions

Posted on December 2, 2010 by Richard

If there’s one thing I’ve found out recently it’s that people love predictions. Why this is the case I’m not sure. I think it’s partly because bad predictions can be really funny (i.e. with the passage of time they turn … Continue reading →

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The Future of Football

Posted on November 28, 2010 by Richard

Who will host the next world cup? At risk of being issued with ridicule and red cards here are some long bets. 2018 – Russia 2022 – USA 2026 – China

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Bye bye Belgium?

Posted on September 7, 2010 by Richard

A few years ago Ross Dawson and I created an “extinction timeline” showing when a few familiar things might die out. For a bit of fun I put Belgium on it. There were two serious reasons for doing this. First, … Continue reading →

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China Wildcard

Posted on January 28, 2010 by Richard

You are going to think I’m totally mad but I have a gut feeling that China is going to collapse. Not today. Not next week. Not even next year. But I think that within the next ten years – maybe … Continue reading →

Posted in Predictions, Wildcards | 6 Comments

And Going Down…

Posted on January 27, 2010 by Richard

and here’s a list of the industries expected to decline most rapidly in 2010. Source: IBIS World.

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Going Up in 2010