Author Archives: Richard

A Corona Chronology (the movie)

Posted on June 16, 2020 by Richard

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A Corona Chronology

Posted on May 6, 2020 by Richard

A timeline for Corona (Covid-19). I must stress that this is not what I think will happen, but rather what I would like to happen. And it will happen if enough people wish it so. One axis is time. The … Continue reading →

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Present Tense

Posted on May 4, 2020 by Richard

Rather a lovely review about what I’m up to nowadays. From QZ.com in the US. Read here.

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Corona is not a Black Swan Event

Posted on March 14, 2020 by Richard

There is a narrative slowly emerging that Corona (Covid-19) is a true Black swan event. For example, according to Fred Cleary, a portfolio manager at Pegasus Capital, quoted in the FT’s excellent Long View Column, “Covid-19 is a black swan”. … Continue reading →

Posted in Pandemic risks, Predictions, Risks, Scenario Planning, Scenarios, X-Risks | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Quote of the week

Posted on March 13, 2020 by Richard

“No plan of operations reaches with any certainty beyond the first encounter with the enemy’s main force” (Helmuth von Moltke, Prussina military commander, 1880). Or another version…. “Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth” (Mike Tyson, … Continue reading →

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The scream (redux)

Posted on March 12, 2020 by Richard

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No touching

Posted on March 11, 2020 by Richard

OK, two scenarios in light of Coronavirus and the current outbreak of anxiety. Scenario one: Social distancing becomes the norm. People avoid people.People don’t trust people. People trust machines and prefer their company. Asociety-wide deletion of the human interface (currently … Continue reading →

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Some things you can see coming…

Posted on March 10, 2020 by Richard

i just remembere that i wrote this back in 2012 for a book called The Future: 50 Ideas you really need to know. Of course, if you write enough, and then wait long enough, almost anything can come true. The … Continue reading →

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How to do nothing

Posted on March 9, 2020 by Richard

I’ve got sod all on at the moment (thanks Coronavirus!) so I’ve started to read How to do nothing in the greenhouse by Jenny Odell. No…the book is called How to do Nothing… I’m reading it in the greenhouse…got it? … Continue reading →

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Stop spreading the news

Posted on March 6, 2020 by Richard

Given my ongoing experiments with what I call retrospective reading (i.e. reading ‘news’ when it’s several weeks, if not months, old) I thought this was interesting. I haven’t stopped reading newspapers altogether, but I have certainly cut down very significantly … Continue reading →

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