Jottings

The blog is getting to be a bit of a struggle with two new books, both with the same deadline. Fortunately one is done, but I keep having ideas for things that should perhaps be included. And don’t anyone mention the stack of unread magazines or lost issues of Brainmail!

Anyway, it’s 6.05pm and I had enough of books for today, so here are a few snippets from my backlog of newspapers.

1. More than 25% of young people aged between 10 and 12 years of age in the UK now need a calculator to do basic sums. 33% don’t know how to use apostrophes either and their parents are now too busy to help them, with most parents spending less than 10 minutes helping kids learn per day.

2. A study from the University of Nebraska in the US says that right-wingers are more negatively inclined than liberals, who tend to look on the bright side. Reminds me of a quote that went something along the lines of left-wingers wanting to banish the past and right-wingers wanting to banish the future.

3. Another study (what do some people do all day?). This time it’s for Macmillan Cancer supports in the UK and it says that young people (thoseyoung people!) are surrounded by friends, but have very few that they can turn to in times of crisis. The survey of 1,000 people aged between 18 and 35 discovered that around 70% only had 2 or less real friends with 13% saying they had none at all. Apparently males are more likely to have fewer real friends than women.

The average number of Facebook friends remember is 130.

Reminds me of some research I quoted in Future Minds by sociologists at the University of Arizona and Duke University that found that Americans have fewer real friends than they used to. Back in 1985 the average American had 3 people to confide in about their problems. Now the figure is just 2. Fairly consistent then.

Harry Potter and the Da Vinci book of Sodoku

Future Minds has now gone off to print, which is why the blog has suddenly become so active. BTW, did you know that authors are now under pressure from publishers to write books that have titles that are search engine optimised? So I’ve been thinking about what my next book should be called. So far I’ve come up with three ideas.

1. Harry Potter and the Da Vinci code book of Sodoku
2. Six sigma secrets to time management trends
3. What Paris Hilton and the New York Yankees know about innovation

Preface From New Book (pre-edit)

“Google knows everything” – Nick, aged 8.

This is a book about how the digital era is changing our minds. It is about how new digital objects and environments, such as the internet, mobile phones and e-books are re-wiring our brains — at home, at work and at play.

Technology clearly has a lot to do with this, although in many instances it is not technology’s fault per se. Rather it is the way that many trends are combining and technology is either facilitating this confluence or accelerating and amplifying the effects. This may sound alarming but it needn’t be. We have created these digital technologies using imagination and ingenuity and it is surely within our grasp to decide how best to use them — or when not to.

But can something as seemingly innocent as a Google search or a mobile phone call really change the way that people think and act? I believe they can — and do.

This thought occurred to me one morning when I was looking out into space, from the rooftop of a hotel in Sydney. But then I reflected. Would I have thought this if I were on the phone, looking at a computer screen, in a basement office in London?

I think the answer is no. The hotel was a calm and relaxed environment with expansive harbour views, whereas an office can be a box of digital distractions. Modern life is indeed changing the quality of our thinking, but perhaps the clarity to see this only comes with a certain distance or detachment.

Does this matter? I think it does. Mobile phones, computers and iPods, have become a central feature of everyday life in hundreds of millions of households around the world. There are currently more than one billion personal computers and more than four billion mobile phones*(1) on the planet. In 2005, 12% of US newlyweds met online, while kids aged 5-16 years of age now spend, on average, around six hours every day in front of some kind of screen. This technological ubiquity must surely be resulting in significant attitudinal and behavioural shifts — but what are they? The answer is that nobody is really quite sure. The technology is too new (the internet is barely 5,000 days old) and our knowledge of the human mind is still too limited.

We do know the human brain is ‘plastic.’ It responds to any new stimulus or experience. Our thinking is therefore framed by the tools we choose to use. This has been the case for millennia but we have had millennia to consider the consequences. This has arguably changed. We are now so connected though digital networks that a culture of rapid response has developed. We are so continually available that we have left ourselves no time to properly think about what we are doing. We have become so obsessed with asking whether something can be done that we have left no time to consider whether something should be done. Perhaps the way our brains are constructed means that we just can’t see what is going on.

Moreover, the digital age (the internet, search engines and screens in general and mobile phones and digital books in particular) is chipping away at our ability to concentrate. As Professor Mark Bauerlein, author of The Dumbest Generation points out, screen reading “conditions minds against quiet, concentrated study, against imagination unassisted by visuals, against linear sequential analysis of texts, against an idle afternoon with a detective story and nothing else”. We are therefore in danger of developing a new generation that has plenty of answers but few good questions. A generation that is connected and collaborative but one that is also impatient, isolated and detached from reality. A generation that is unable to think in the ‘real’ world.

It’s not just the new generations either. We all scroll through our days without thinking deeply about what we are really doing or where we are ultimately going. We are turning into whirling dervishes, frantically moving from place to place in search of superficial ecstasy, unaware that many the things we most yearn for are being trampled by our own feet. It is only when we stop moving and the dust settles that we can see this destruction clearly. Our attention and relationships are becoming atomised too. We are connected globally, but our physical relationships are becoming wafer thin and ephemeral. Digital objects and environments influence how we all think and are profoundly shaping how we interact.

Ultimately, I believe the quality of our thinking – and ultimately our decisions – is suffering. Digital devices are turning us into a society of scatterbrains. If any piece of information can be recalled at the click of a mouse, why bother to learn anything? We are all becoming google-eyed. If GPS*(2) can allow us to find anything in an instant, why master map reading? But what if one day the technology doesn’t work? What then?*(3)

It is the right kind of thinking – what I call deep thinking – that makes us uniquely human. This is the type of thinking that is associated with new insights and ideas that move the world forward. It is thinking that is rigorous, focused, deliberate, independent, original, imaginative and reflective. But deep thinking like this can’t be done in a hurry or in an environment full of noise and interruptions. It can’t be done in 140 characters or less. It can’t be done when you are doing three things at once.

Yes it’s possible to walk and chew gum at the same time but I am concerned about what happens when you add a Twitter stream, a Kindle and an iPod into the mix. In short, what happens to the quality of our thinking when we never really sit still or completely switch off?

Why does all this matter? Because a knowledge revolution is replacing human brawn with human brains as the primary tool of economic production.*(4) It is now intellectual capital (i.e. the product of human minds) that matters most. But we are on the cusp of another revolution. In the future, our minds will compete with smart machines for employment and even human affection. Hence, being able to think in ways that machines cannot, will become vitally important. Put another way, machines are becoming adept at matching stored knowledge to patterns of human behaviour, so we are shifting from a world where people are paid to accumulate and distribute information to an innovation economy where people will be rewarded as conceptual thinkers. Yet this is precisely the type of thinking that is currently under attack.

So how should we as individuals, organisations and institutions (the latter being those deliberately built environments where we spend most of our lives) be dealing with the changing way that people think? How can we harness the potential of new digital objects and environments whilst minimising their downsides?

Personally, I think we need to do a little less and think a little more. We need to slow things down. Not all the time but occasionally. We need to stop confusing movement with progress and get away from the idea that all communication and decision making has to be done instantly. The tyranny of the next financial quarter is just as damaging to deep thinking as a noisy office fitted with fluorescent lighting.

I’m sure that by writing this book I will be accused by some people of going backwards, or of being a pastist. But remember that some of the tried and tested technologies of yesteryear have grown old precisely because they are good and we should think twice before deleting them. Equally, being a member of the Tech No movement doesn’t mean smashing the nearest digital device. It simply means questioning potential consequences or asking for some level of balance. It is about arguing that we need a little more of this and a little less of that.

This is a book about work, education, time, space, books, baths, sleep, music and other things that influence our thinking. It is about how something as physical, finite and flimsy as a 1.5 kg box of proteins and carbohydrates can generate something as infinite and potentially valuable as an idea. Hence, it is for anyone who’s curious about thinking about their own thinking and for everyone who’s interested in unleashing the extraordinarily potential of the human mind.

Whether you are interested in how to deal with too much information, constant partial attention, our obsession with busyness, leisure guilt, the myth of multi-tasking, the sex life of ideas, or the rise of the screenager, this book explores the different aspects of how digital objects and environments are re-wiring our brains – and makes some practical suggestions about what we can do about it.


* (1)Half of British children aged between 5 and 9 now own a mobile phone. For 7 to 15 year-olds the figure is 75%. This is despite government advice that no child under-16 should be using one. The average age that children in the UK now acquire a mobile phone is 8 years.

* (2) I interviewed someone for a job recently and one of her questions was whether or not she could use my car. I said she could, so she asked whether my car had a GPS in it. It doesn’t. She turned the job down. I wish her luck, whatever direction her life goes in. The point here is that GPS and Google give us information but they do not impart understanding and in some cases they can prevent us from properly planning ahead.

*(3) We assume the internet will always work. But what if it doesn’t? A US think-tank (Nemertes Research) says internet use is rising by 60% each year worldwide. Unless we can increase capacity they claim ‘brownouts’ (frozen screens, download delays etc) will become commonplace, relegating the internet to the status of a toy. How would you cope with that?

* (4) A study by McKinsey & Company, a management consultancy, claims that 85% of new jobs created in the US between 1998 and 2006 involved “knowledge work”.

Where Do People Do Their Best Thinking?

You may remember that as part of my new book (Future Minds) I spoke to a few people asking them the question: “Where and when do you do your best thinking?” Here are some more responses…

“Over the decades, I think that my best thinking has occurred when I am visiting a foreign country, have my obligations out of the way, and am sitting in a pleasant spot – in a café, near a lake – with a piece of paper in front of me.”

“Usually when I am not working, and most often when I am travelling!”

“The most relevant (issue) for me is ideas needed for a piece of writing. As a drummer I am generally required to avoid deep thinking of any sort. So it’s probably whilst driving on a motorway, or on the start of a transatlantic flight. I think it’s to do with some distractions so that the thinking is a little freer – there is nothing worse than tidying the desk, sharpening a pencil and sensing the creative part of the brain creeping out the back door… also there’s a nice reward element that can be employed. No motorway fry up, or extra dry martini before there’s an opening line invented.”

“Lying in bed in the dark, with the white noise generator producing a soothing whoosh, I sometimes have a few seconds of modest insight.”

“I love doing household chores: loading the dishwasher, scrubbing the floors, scouring the pans; the polishing, the cleaning. All the time I am thinking of ways to improve upon the equipment; what would bring forward the technology.”

“I’ve had creative thoughts while walking down the street, in the shower, on the squash court, in the bathroom (of course), while shaving… .”

“I do my best thinking in bed – sometimes even when asleep. I wake up having solved a problem.”

Where Do People Think?

As part of my new book I decided to conduct some research looking at where people did their best thinking. Here are the results. The sample was 624 people. Please note that in some cases I have grouped similar responses (e.g. “outside” and “in the fresh air” were both counted as “outside”).

Question: Where and when do you do your best thinking?
The Top Ten most frequent answers (ranked 1-10 in descending order)

1. When I’m alone
2. Last thing at night/in bed
3. In the shower
4. First thing in the morning
5. In the car /driving
6. When I’m reading a book/newspaper/magazine
7. In the bath
8. Outside
9. Anywhere
10. When I’m jogging/running

Other answers (random list of responses, not ranked)

– When travelling

– When my feet start wandering my mind tends to do the same

– On holiday

– Late at night (1am, 2am and 3am were frequently mentioned)

– On airplanes

– Listening to the radio

– Over lunch

– Over dinner (breakfast was never mentioned)

– Unrelated discussions with new people

– Walking the dog Driving

– On trains

– When I’m not under pressure

– After I’ve slept on a problem

– When I’m not thinking about things

– On the bus

– In a café

– When I’m least expecting it

– When I’m not in front of a screen

– In church listening to music

– On Eurostar sipping a glass of wine

– Sitting on a beach

– Daydreaming

– Looking out of the window

– Whenever I have a pencil in my hand

– At the theatre

– At the cinema

– Taking a long walk

– Bathroom

– Graveyards

– Cycling

– Cooking by myself

– In the pub

– Running

– On top of mountains

– Playing golf

– Running machines

– Waiting for waves (surfing)

– When I get bored

– Before I drift off to sleep

– Looking out to sea

– When I put myself in the shoes of other people

Here are a few comments verbatim:

“Often the ‘spark’ comes when I am not supposed to be thinking. I’m afraid I am a smoker — now sentenced to pursue this awful habit outside. I think smoking is about relaxing (for me at least) — so I let my mind stop being boxed in by whatever I was doing before hand. That’s when it gets to work on its own, and that’s when it works most laterally — both in terms of what it ‘chooses’ to decide to mull on and in terms of connections it makes between things. I sometimes find it hard to retain the thoughts when having to get back to the day job of the next immediate challenge — usually have to write it down or say it to someone. This works particularly well late at night or when it’s quiet. Or alternatively “in the bath” — a bit of a cliché but true. I think the other time I think well is when I am stealing ideas from others! People say things, which lead you to make good, new connections — to see things in ways you had not previously. I’ve often said that the best ideas I have came from someone else. This is where ‘sparks’ can be molded into something more concrete that you can really do something with. So at work I like to think with 1 or (no more than) 2 people through an iterative thought process. Two brains are often better than one for really good constructive thinking. Too many brains and the process gets tough.”

Director of Strategy

“My ‘best thinking’ seems to occur when my mind is somewhat relaxed and I am not focussing hard on the issue I am actually concerned about. Initially I always have to go through a personal briefing phase with a new issue / problem / challenge – as being aware of all the facts is clearly essential. This could well involve discussions with others. But after that I don’t usually just sit still and think hard — like Sherlock Holmes with his pipe. I find it very hard to do that. Rather the issue ‘simmers’ in my mind and ideas occur, say, when I am walking the dog or driving the car…”

General Manager, Strategy

“I do my best thinking when I’m listening to the radio really loud and driving really fast. After that it is when I’m being provoked by passionate people. After that a boring airplane.”

Group Chief Marketing Officer

“Some of my best and most complicated thinking (thinking with numbers attached) happens late at night when it’s quiet and I’ve had a few drinks. In can also happen in pubs when I’m oblivious to everyone and everything around me.”

Political advisor & playwright

“On the running machine.”

Head of Design

“When walking through town. Something about the right balance of stimulus and meditation that you get when immersed in a big city. Concentration and distraction in balance and oxygen in my lungs.”

Blogger in Residence

“’Not at work’ would be our collective response from the Insights team! We deliberately hold all our ideation sessions offsite in an effort to break habits and surroundings. And always try to stagger a session over night or over a weekend so that people have time to absorb and think outside of business hours – either in the shower, driving, taking exercise, walking the dog – allowing the mind to wander and ponder!”

Head of Insights & Planning

“Without doubt as soon as I wake in the morning. By organising and reviewing the coming day in my head I find that I am more organised and efficient. This half hour of true privacy also allows for important personal things to present their priorities — which is often hard when you are active during the day. Thinking before doing really works — Einstein once said that if he had 10 days to cut down a tree, he would spend 9 of them sharpening his axe.”

Managing Director

“I usually do my best thinking on a morning run — the crisper the air, the better. My favourite running circuit is in Gloucestershire — on a small country lane near called Far Peak (Nr Cirencester). It is hilly and can be quite trying — if I have let the running regimen slip over the preceding weeks — it is a sure fire way of dissolving the mental cobwebs. I like big sky, open fields and lots of fresh air — I guess it’s an oxygen thing — but decisions or “cloudy issues” often feel more manageable after a brisk 50 minute run.”

Head of Digital

“37,000 feet and with a gin and tonic.Always have my best insights then.”

CEO

“Before falling asleep or half an hour after waken up and in the shower.”

Research Director

“I do my best thinking when my brain is uncluttered by the debris of modern day detail… is my MOT up to date, should I switch gas providers, did I send that email, which recycling bin does this go into, have I paid my congestion charge, why did I ever fork out for a debenture at Murrayfield, do my socks match, I must spend more time with the kids, pension or ISA, how does anyone get round to using their airmiles, will the neighbour’s new extension be a nuisance, where is that receipt, does that shrub need more water…or less, did my boss notice that it was me who cut him up on the way into work this morning …. Bizarrely my very best thoughts appear when somehow my brain engages on a single challenge seconds from dropping off to sleep.”

Planning Director

Thinking Spaces

This from my new book, the responses of 999 people to the question: “Where and when do you do your best thinking?

The Top Ten most frequent answers (ranked 1-10 in descending order)

1. When I’m alone
2. Last thing at night/in bed
3. In the shower
4. First thing in the morning
5. In the car /driving
6. When I’m reading a book/newspaper/magazine
7. In the bath
8. Outside
9. Anywhere
10. When I’m jogging/running

How Minds are Different to Machines

OK all you egg heads out there. What’s wrong with this list?

Ten ways that our minds are currently different to our machines

1. The basis of human intelligence is experience and is based on sensory awareness of information coming in as well as our response to it. It might be tempting to think that a computer can take the place of an expert but it depends on the type of problem at hand. Computers are great at solving low-freedom, rule-based problems, such as credit scoring or medical diagnosis. Experts can out perform computers when given high freedom, rules-based problems, such as innovation, strategy formulation, and troubleshooting.

2. Machines cannot think about their own thinking — they are not self-aware or free. For instance, machines can solve some man-made problems but they cannot create problems or go beyond the rules or make connections between thoughts the way people do.

3.Human beings possess generalised intelligence — machines are programmed for specific tasks. The chance of seeing a generalised intelligence residing in a machine is low in the foreseeable future.

4. A machine lacks true senses — it can ‘know’ it is cold, but it cannot ‘feel’ cold. Thus machines cannot currently display any true level of empathy and cannot use their feelings to create artistic works or social policy.

5. Machines do not have empathy or morality and they cannot feel love, joy, hate or any other emotion. In some instances this may be highly beneficial but in others the idea of amoral machines it a cause of great concern.

6. Electronic devices are not capable of creativity, intuition or imagination.

7. People currently have mental privacy, but the workings of machines are transparent. Transparency is good in many levels but too much transparency could be harmful. Expect mental privacy to become a major battleground.

8. We can download information into a machine, but not yet into the human brain.

9. Machines do not possess a subconscious mind, yet this, more than the conscious mind, may be the basis of most human thought and behaviour.

10. The human brain has evolved over thousands of years so it is highly resilient and adaptive to changing circumstances.

Not So Fast

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Interesting to see a piece in The Times about a research study conducted by the University of California, San Diego, saying that traits such as compassion and tolerance are hard wired into the human brain. I’m not so sure about this.

There was another study reported on this week from the University of Southern California’s Brain and Creativity Institute claiming that whilst one person can instantly register another person’s fear or pain it takes much longer for responses such as compassion or empathy to develop.

But here’s the really good bit. According to these researchers, our digital age could be robbing us of such emotions. Why? Because information overload, caused by the likes of Twitter, Facebook, MySpace etc, is creating too much competition for what is ultimately a finite amount of attention.

In other words, when we are being constantly screamed at by a variety of digital devices we withdraw and stop thinking about others. It’s a bit of stretch to blame technology for a decline in civility but it might not be too far off.