Is Apple the New Nokia (or Sony)?

I quite like this provocative blog post from Rasmus Ankersen although my parallel would be Sony post Akio Morita. BTW, have you tried to actually speak to Apple’s customer service people recently? Possibly the worst I’ve ever come across. Do you think that perhaps it’s time for a new Apple in the sense of a small, counter-cultural, challenger computer/IT company to take on the might of Apple, IBM, Samsung, HP, Dell etc.

Anyway, the post…

“I understand if you think that I am insane: How can I dare to put such questions up to a company that earns $7 billion a year, and which broke all records by selling 32.2 million iPhones in the June quarter in 2013? It’s just worth remembering that the way we look at Apple today, was exactly the same way we looked at Nokia in 2007, six months before the iPhone was launched.

I am aware that Apple accounts for more than 50% of the profits in the smartphone market today and still is the greatest, but Nokia was too. And the Titanic for that matter.I am also aware that some of the world’s best and most talented product engineers and designers are employed at Apple, but how long will they continue to be as long as the company continues to only to make cosmetic and incremental improvements to existing products instead of inventing groundbreaking new ones? Whether Apple is going to be the next Nokia is of course pure speculation on my part. However, my point with questioning Apple is first and foremost, that even the best can be infiltrated by complacency, and often they do not even realize it because the consequences of complacency are blurred by the momentum that past results have created.

T.S. Eliot famously wrote in The Hollow Men: “The world ends not with a bang but a whimper.” The same say is true for complacency. Big companies die slowly. They die from the decisions that were not taken and from the questions that were never being asked, because it was easier not to.

Cookie Policy

So I’ve been staying at the Doubletree Hilton hotel in Cambridge, which turned out to be double trouble from the get go. The problem was their internet and their cookie policy.

I checked in at 2.45pm and was given a warm chocolate cookie. Why and why me? Do I look as though I need a warm cookie at 2.45pm? I took it, not wishing to appear rude, but once in the elevator my greed/curiosity got the better of me.

I broke off a corner to have an exploratory nibble. Big mistake. The molten middle made a run for it and ended up all over me.

So, if you are reading this, Ms. Hilton, no cookies please. If you would like to give me something to make me feel warm towards your brand could try a free internet connection. Paying to use the internet in a hotel room these days really does takes the biscuit.

Plane stupidity

I’ve been in Greece doing some stuff. The hotel was very nice, but to be frank it could have been anywhere. Interestingly, the guests were largely American, although that’s probably because the hotel was linked to a large American chain. The BRIC tourist crowd that I usually bump into was nowhere to be seen, except for a few young Russians.

The journey out was awful. Because I wanted a direct flight I ended up going with Thomas Cook, which was beyond dreadful. It wasn’t so much the 8-hour delay, but the fact that nobody ever bothered to make an announcement about what was going on. The airport departures board continually displayed incorrect information (3, possibly 4, factually incorrect statements about boarding and departure times) and to find out what was actually happening you had to find the information desk (no signage whatsoever) and even then you ended up talking with a handling agent, not Thomas Cook.

My only explanation for this is that representatives of Thomas Cook were too scared to make an appearance in front of their own customers. You probably think I’m exaggerating this point, but when the final announcement about whether the plane had been fixed or not was about to be made 5 policemen turned up to keep the peace – in case the news was bad. Actually that’s one thing I’ve started to notice about the English – that they no longer sit quietly and do nothing, but complain loudly like Americans.

But what really got me was this. If the company had the foresight to arrange for the police to be present (armed, by the way, although this was a pure coincidence) then why did they not have the intelligence to handle the whole situation better?

What people wanted was information. They wanted someone from the company to show up in person and explain to them what was going on as soon as things looked bad (so within an hour of the missed departure time). If this meant saying that they didn’t know what was going on that would be fine.

Moreover, announcements that certain things would happen at certain times were just plane stupid if they then didn’t. I can understand (but only just) the fact that the departures board continually displayed incorrect information, because there was, I was told, a third party involved. However, people that explain, in person, that |”You’ll be off by 12,00”…“You’ll be boarded at 2.10” or ‘We can load the whole plane in fifteen minutes” should know better than to make promises they can’t necessarily keep.

Customer service moral: Tell people what’s going on directly as soon as there’s a major problem and don’t say things you know not to be true or things that may turn out not to be the case. I get on a lot of planes and I’ve never seen one carrying several hundred people boarded in 15-minutes, for example.

Also, when you apologise to a planeload of angry customers, do it from the heart and not from a soulless script. “We’re sorry for the delay” is a perfectly good response if a plane is 15-30 minutes late. If a departure is 8 hours behind schedule it just won’t do. “We’re incredibly sorry for the huge delay” might be a little bit better. Equally, offering passengers “One free drink” isn’t really appropriate. Do what Virgin Blue once did and say: “All drinks are on us until the bar runs dry”.

BTW, I’ve got two book recommendations for you. The first one is called Why You are Australian by Nikki Gemmell. It’s a letter from the author to her children about why she moved then from England to Australia and it’s terrific.

The second book, that I picked up on impulse at the airport, is called future Babble: Why expert predictions fail – and why we believe them anyway by Dan Gardner. I’m still reading it but so far so good.

Cyber Customer Service

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Just when you thought that customer service couldn’t get any worse comes news that enterprise robots (i.e. customer service avatars or virtual staff) are coming to a customer call centre nowhere near you very soon. The idea (and it’s not a bad one) is that human operatives cost lots of money and are not efficiently employed when they are answering dumb questions from customers. Hence, semi-intelligent avatars that can guide customers through routine tasks, thereby freeing up the carbon-based bi-peds to do the warm and fuzzy relationships stuff. Be afraid. Very afraid.