Back in the day

Have you noticed how people are saying “back in the day” all of a sudden? Even people that weren’t born “back in the day”. What does it mean? OK, it’s the title of a (2014) film, but surely that’s not it. My take on it is that it means back before things got complex and confusing (or perhaps pre-2008 when money went mad, in which case 20-somethings were indeed around then).

Will the phrase disappear and fast as it arrived (like “step up”, “Heads up” or “reach out”) or will it endure? I’ll give it to the end of this year.

Signs of the future

I try not to post more than once a day, but this is so good and related not only to my top extinctions list but also to the timeline of emerging technologies, which is coming out very soon. Click on this link for loads more images in a similar vein.
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Person responsible is B.J. Murphy at the Institute for Ethics and Emerging Technologies and designer is Fernando Barbella. Thanks for Chris Haley at Nesta for passing it along. We are not worthy!

Things that might disappear by 2050

Top Possible Extinctions by 2050

Some of you might remember the extinction timeline I designed with Ross Dawson a few years ago and perhaps even the update, which for some strange reason I did as an oil painting (it seemed like a really good idea at the time).

Anyway, here’s a further update featuring the possible extinction of privacy, handwriting, physical credit cards, video game consoles, the great barrier reef, malaria, commercial ocean fishing, surgeons, car accidents and perhaps even death by 2050. Thanks for Zeljko Zoricic for the visualisation.

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Why water can be good for you

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As some of you might know, I’m a fan of clutter (“If a messy desk is the sign of a messy mind, what then can be said of an empty desk?” – Einstein or thereabouts).

However, things have started to get of control, so I’ve been cleaning up my desktop and my actual desk. A sense of inner calm, similar to that achieved when I throw lots of things away, has now returned.

On other news, the emerging technologies map is done and is off to the designer tomorrow and I’ve finished another brainmail issue, which will be up next week.

Two other things. First, a good article in the conversation about ‘Repair Cafes’, especially the Bower Reuse & Repair Centre in Sydney’s inner west. If you don’t already know about these, they are places where local people can drop in and get stuff fixed. You might relate this to economic conditions, but I don’t think that’s quite it. I think it has more to do with the need to touch things and understand how things work (a digital antidote).

The other thing has to with minds rather than making, although, of course, the two are always related. I seem to be spending more time these days thinking about and talking about innovation and creativity and, in particular, my book Future Minds about how digital and physical environments shape the way we feel and think.

Today, for example, I got an email from someone in Bangalore who had just read Future Minds and wanted me to elaborate my point that: “Being by moving water seems to work – it dilutes the effects of the digital era”.

My point here is that when I did some research for the book about where people did their ‘best thinking’, being alone come up quite a bit, but so too did water, especially being in or by moving water. What could this be about? One explanation someone once gave me (and this could be utter nonsense) is that moving water creates negative ions, which aren’t negative at all in the sense of how they make us feel. BTW, that photo above is making me feel very sad indeed – it’s Sydney.

More here if you are interested.

Map of emerging science & technology

Iran

Seems my trends & technology timeline from 2010 has made it to Iran (above).

BTW, my new emerging technologies timeline that I’m doing with Imperial College is done (below) and now just needs some design polish. It has been thought about very carefully indeed, especially by about a dozen PhDs, and should be huge. Far better than anything similar I’ve ever seen. Hopefully available as a free high resolution download in a week or two and good old fashioned A1 and A3 paper wall charts a bit after that.

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Thinking about thinking

I’ve got an after-dinner speech coming up at a Cambridge college, but the audience are Chinese and my 20-minute talk has to be translated. This means that after I say something I pause whilst it is repeated in Mandarin. This means I actually have 10 minutes to explain what I think is going to happen to the world over the next 50 years. Anyway, the funny thing is that I’ve spent the best part of a week trying to write 2 pages, all to no effect. But this morning I started at 8.30am, drank 2 coffees and 2 cups of tea (Yorkshire blend) and managed to do it in 35 minutes.

Why might this be so?

The reason, I think, is that one of the biggest problems with solving problems is that people give up too soon. We think about things, we think some more, and then quit – because nothing appears to be happening or because the process is frustrating.

Idea or solution generation tends to proceed through three clear stages. The first stage is education, the second stage is incubation and the final stage is illumination. The first stage is deeply demanding. You need to think, a lot. You need to be become conscious of the issues and become sensitive to the broader context. In short you need to become receptive and focus your attention on the problem at hand. Personally I believe that relaxation (a sense of mental calm and physical quiet) is essential during this stage, although I am aware that other people would disagree with me on this.

The second stage is then deeply unnerving, largely because it doesn’t obviously exist or because we cannot directly control it. However, to think that nothing is happening would be a giant mistake. It’s just that all of the work occurs in your unconscious so it appears as though nothing is going on. Eventually something will pop into your head, usually unannounced, and at this point the flow of ideas can often turn into a flood, when all of the individual elements start coming together.

Or it could just be the caffeine.

Thinking about 2014 in 1914

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I’m doing a public talk at the Museum of London later this month and have come across two rather good quotes, one about London and one about the broader context of politics.

“There are two great railways stations, one for the north and one for the south. The great roads out of London are 120 feet wide, with two divisions, one for slow-moving and the other for fast-moving traffic; and there will be a huge belt of green fields surrounding London.”
Aston Webb, talking about London in 2014 from the perspective of 1914 and showing that you can sometimes be roughly right.

“It is as certain as anything in politics can be, that the frontiers of our modern national states are finally drawn.”
The journalist H.N. Brailsford getting it horribly wrong in 1914.