Category Archives: Scenarios

A Quick Scenario Methodology

Just been thinking about how you might create some vaguely useful scearios if you have a matter of hours at your disposal rather than days or weeks. 1. Explain the purpose of the scenario exercise – generally to stretch a … Continue reading

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Grenfell Tower Protests

Well I’d say we have entered the top left scenario, wouldn’t you?

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Strategic conversation cards

They’re here. They look lovely. Just working up a website to explain more….

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Strategy Conversation Cards

Long-time readers may remember that as well as maps I have a thing for cards. I’ve previously helped to create a set of cards for PWC to help CFOs discuss the distant future and I also created a set, along … Continue reading

Posted in Imperial College, Scenario Planning, Scenarios, Strategic foresight, Strategic Threats, Strategy cards, Tech Foresight, Wildcards | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Sensing the Futures (how to challenge ruling narratives)

Here’s a prediction. You are reading this because you believe that it’s important to have a sense of what’s coming next. Or perhaps you believe that since disruptive events are becoming more frequent you need more warning about potential game-changers, … Continue reading

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A real scenario?

I was going to add this as book of the month in brainmail, but I figured it was a little depressing. Here is fine, of course! One for the scenario thinkers at the Ministry of Defence and MI5 perhaps? A … Continue reading

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Digital v Human

I’ve decided that for the next few months this blog is going to be about the development of my next book, Digital v Human (with some exceptions). First I’ll start by adding a few things I’ve deleted. The appendix below … Continue reading

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The Future of Gaming

Late last year I was involved in the creation of a series of scenarios for Atlantic Lottery Corporation in Canada looking at the future of gaming out to 2030. The scenarios were: Circumvention: This is a world with cultures in … Continue reading

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The Future of Europe

I see that the French President, Francois Hollande, has stated that the crisis within Europe is “now over.” Non. These were written on the back on an envelope recently and I’ve made no attempt at driving forces or a matrix, … Continue reading

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Shell Scenarios for 2050

                  Shell’s latest set of scenarios for the world 2050 are now out and, interestingly, include a view out to 2100. Here are two overviews and here’s the link to the scenario … Continue reading

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