Category Archives: Forecasts & forecasting

Why technology forecasting goes wrong

Lovely set of pieces in Slate on the Future of the Future. One article in particular caught my eye, which is an analysis of 81 technology articles and press releases going back to the 1990s in which things are said … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasts & forecasting, Predictions | 2 Comments

The re-invention of public libraries

It’s funny. The moment someone declares something as dead, chances are that whatever it is (vinyl records, fountain pens, paper books, watches, dumb-phones, bespoke tailoring, cinema, polaroid cameras, postcards, beer, butter, cider, cycling, Russia …) it reappears, often with renewed … Continue reading

Posted in Extinctions/disappearances, Forecasts & forecasting, Libraries, Predictions | Tagged | Leave a comment

Talking about the mega-trends map

Posted in 2017 Trends, Forecasts & forecasting, Futures methodologies, global trends, Map of Now and Next, Maps, Mega-trends, The Future, Thinking, Trend watching, World in 2050 | Leave a comment

Global Mega-trends Map

A new map of global mega-trends, emerging science & technology and risks.

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Posted in 2016 Roadmap for the Future, 2016 trends, Forecasts & forecasting, Foresight, Maps, Mega-trends, Predictions | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Sensing the Futures (how to challenge ruling narratives)

Here’s a prediction. You are reading this because you believe that it’s important to have a sense of what’s coming next. Or perhaps you believe that since disruptive events are becoming more frequent you need more warning about potential game-changers, … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasts & forecasting, Future thinking, Futurists, Predictions, Scenarios | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Sensing the Future

Here’s a prediction. You are reading this because you believe that it’s important to have a sense of what’s coming next. Or perhaps you believe that since disruptive events are becoming more frequent you need more warning about potential game-changers, … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasts & forecasting, Foresight, Future thinking, Predictions | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Historical books about the future

                        Just going on a tour of the science fiction library at Imperial College. Coincidently, I’m getting rather interested in acquiring original copies of old books that consider the … Continue reading

Posted in Books, Forecasts & forecasting, History of the future, Predictions, The Future | Leave a comment

Digital v Human

I’ve decided that for the next few months this blog is going to be about the development of my next book, Digital v Human (with some exceptions). First I’ll start by adding a few things I’ve deleted. The appendix below … Continue reading

Posted in Digital v Human, Forecasts & forecasting, Predictions, Scenario Planning, Scenarios, Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Signs of the future

I try not to post more than once a day, but this is so good and related not only to my top extinctions list but also to the timeline of emerging technologies, which is coming out very soon. Click on … Continue reading

Posted in Data visualisation, Forecasts & forecasting, Predictions, Technology Foresignt | Leave a comment

Why prediction is difficult, especially about the future

  Kenneth Arrow, the recipient of a Nobel Prize for economics in the 1970s, once spoke about the response he and colleagues received during WW2 when they demonstrated that the military’s long-term weather forecasts were no good. The response he … Continue reading

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