Monthly Archives: March 2016

A real scenario?

I was going to add this as book of the month in brainmail, but I figured it was a little depressing. Here is fine, of course! One for the scenario thinkers at the Ministry of Defence and MI5 perhaps? A … Continue reading

Posted in Risks, Scenarios | Leave a comment

Quote of the Week

Apologies, holidays and a book launch, not to mention brainmail issue number 99 to be dealing with. Here’s a little gem I found in the newspapers last weekend. “Sex, drugs, rock ‘n’ roll, dancing; all the things we like doing … Continue reading

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Man Vs. Machine: Gandhi

Don’t know how I managed to miss the thoughts of Gandhi on man versus machine, but I did… “The supreme consideration is man. The machine should not tend to make atrophied the limbs of man.” “What I object to is … Continue reading

Posted in Digital vs Human, Quotes | Leave a comment

Are libraries kennels for underdogs?

I just has a flash of inspiration. Maybe. I’m supposed to be thinking about bookshops, but I keep getting drawn back to public libraries and a line has jumped into my head. “Libraries are kennels for underdogs.” BTW, book light … Continue reading

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The Future of Bookshops

I’m trying to write something for the Bookseller about the future of bookshops. It’s not going especially well. However, I have been doing some research into good bookshops and there are some cracking ideas out there, most of which, incidentally, … Continue reading

Posted in Books, Libraries | 2 Comments

Why Companies Die

Why is it that the average lifespan of an S&P 500 company in the US has fallen from 67 years in the 1920s to just 15 years today? And why might 75% of firms in the S&P 500 now be … Continue reading

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I hate Easyjet

Do you know what I hate about easyjet? Everything. Late. Very late. As is often the case.

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Here we go again?

Wasting time at the hell hole known as Gatwick Airport and reading the New York Times. Not sure which is more of a worry, Donald Trump or the European Central Bank paying banks to take their loans (basically, you pay … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, Weak Signals | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Sensing the Future

Here’s a prediction. You are reading this because you believe that it’s important to have a sense of what’s coming next. Or perhaps you believe that since disruptive events are becoming more frequent you need more warning about potential game-changers, … Continue reading

Posted in Forecasts & forecasting, Foresight, Future thinking, Predictions | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

The Wildest of Wildcards

A few years ago someone came up to me after I’d given a speach at a risk conference and said that I was missing a wildcard risk. He proceeded to tell me that the world would change if we gained … Continue reading

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