Where are you?

Sorry readers. Become rather focused on the new book. I’m working to have the first draft done by the end of the month, so not much time for anything else. Vaguely normal service will resume in April. I have managed to escape a little. I spent 3 days in Austria where I was involved with a series of innovation workshops for Porsche. Also a breakfast for KPMG and some government work on long-term risks. This was fascinating, although a little frustrating because I can’t talk about it.

It did remind me though of a conversation I had a while ago with a Ministry of Defence guy. We were talking about whether you could tell if you were right or not. For example, if you identify something as being a future issue, but you take steps to offset the risk and it doesn’t happen, were you right or wrong?

Similarly, I think there are a few vulnerabilities (risks) but if I mention them publicaly (in a book say) I might alert someone to an opportunity and something may happen. In this case would I be responsible for making this something happen? I think in a sense yes, which is why I’m keeping quiet.

To end a quote for you, which pretty much sums up what’s being going on with the new book (tittle now agreed but not quite public).

“You have to have an idea of what you are going to do, but it should be a vague idea.” – Picasso.

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3 Responses to Where are you?

  1. orkneylad says:

    What’s your take on Taleb?

    Silent Risk:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIR1o1dnk5ZmRaaGs/view?pli=1
    http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/

    A lot of interesting math on ‘tail risk’ etc…….interesting stuff.

    Good luck with the new book!

  2. Richard says:

    Thanks. Would you like a chapter to read? Rough as hell but happy to share.

    On Taleb I read first half of Black Swans and loved it. Second half I couldn’t handle. It amuses me that there are now workshops looking for Black Swans…did they not read even a summary! Haven’t tried the latest one – Anti Fragile isn’t it?

  3. orkneylad says:

    hehe, yes he’s patchy sometimes but thought provoking. Antifragile is certainly very interesting.

    That’s a very kind offer, would make a nice change from all the latest chess theory I’m having to wade through! (tournament looming *groan*).

    Regards 😀

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