2014 Trends

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Facebook Fatigue

If someone came up to you on the street and asked you for personal information would you give it to them? And what if they asked about your daily schedule, your friends, your work, your favourite shops, restaurants and holiday spots? How about if they wanted to know which books you read or what kinds of meals you like? Would you find that a little unsettling? Would you at least ask why this person wanted this information? And what if they said that they wanted to sell this information onto someone else that you’d never met. Putting to aside privacy issues and business models, many of which essentially take information about you and render it into money by selling it to someone else, there’s the issue of peer pressure. With Facebook, for example, there is pressure not only to be on the site and constantly update what you are doing, but to always be ‘up’ and looking good. No wonder people are leaving such sites. A poll by YouGov last year found that in the UK Facebook use had fallen by 9% over the 12-months to March 2013, while in Australia 400,000 people left Facebook during the first 4 months of 2013. Facebook ‘Likes’ are also starting to feel stale, especially when companies are openly offering discounts to people if they ‘like’ their page. Sales promotion by a different name. There’s also the cool factor or, if you prefer, Facebook’s MySpace moment. Now that so many parents have signed up to Facebook to spy on their kids, many kids have moved onto the likes of Snapchat.

2014 Trends

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Political populism
Fed up with corrupt politicians, out dated and unfair candidate selection methods and unpopular economic policies, people across the world are becoming more distrustful than ever of professional politicians. Within Europe, disenchantment with the EU and enforced ‘European identity’ also means that people are attempting to seize back what was once theirs – namely national identity and national pride. If traditional political parties are unwilling or unable to provide this due to a need for consensus then people will seek new leaders and new parties instead.

The danger here is that national identity requires a clear definition of difference, which by definition casts a shadow of doubt over everyone else that is not part of the chosen group. T-shirts reading: “I grew here, you flew here” and “Swiss Born” are not innocent fashion statements or a form of localism, but the popular cloaking of xenophobia and hatred.

At the moment non-professional politicians and homemade political parties are fairly innocent forms of protest, but watch out for ‘man of the people’ types rejecting rationalism in favour of vehemence and especially anyone offering up an easy target as a solution for current woes.

Trends for 2014

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Self-Monitoring
Self-monitoring (or self-tracking) links to big data, life logging and the quantified self movement. The trend started in the US, with sports and fitness fanatics using wearable sensors to measure things such as how far they’d run, but it’s now extended into health and wellbeing and many people are now monitoring how much they’re eating, how many calories they’re burning, how much (and what type of) sleep they’re getting and even what mood they are in using mobile or wearable sensors. As you’d imagine, self-tracking fits with gamification too, as data can be linked with rewards, status and even with private forms of currency. In the future we could be using wearables to track everything from air quality and time spent reading to (rather ironically) time spent on devices.

Nike + Fuel Band, FitBit and mySleep Analyser are good early examples.
More on self-tracking here.

2014 Key Trends

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Big Data
Big Data is going to be big in 2014. The idea is hardly new, but investments are growing alongside understanding and as a result I’d expect traction to kick in this year. Big data, which is linked to both wearable computing and the emergent Internet of Things, is essentially the idea that more and more of what we do everyday is becoming observable and to some extent predictable thanks to devices that capture and transmit data. In other words, many things that were previously closed, opaque or private are becoming open, transparent and public and can be rendered into data and in some cases money. There are huge privacy issues associated with big data and we should expect some kind of backlash at some point, but used wisely big data could be transformative.

Top Trends for 2014

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1. Real & Raw
Digitalisation and virtualisation, and the resultant dizziness and remoteness of everyday life, are creating a growing interest in things that are local, slow, real and raw. The localisation, voluntary simplicity and slow movements have been around for a while, but they appear to be gaining momentum of late and have spun off a number of connections ranging from hobby baking to sewing. Meanwhile, digital perfection and homogeneity are spawning an interest, not only in provenance, but in patina and one-off imperfection.This can be seen in high-end fashion, for example the trend for artful distress is especially evident at the luxury end of the fashion world, but some might argue that this is neither real nor raw. A better example can be found in the classic car market, where cracked leather and faded paint are now more valuable that restored perfection.

Image: Drivingphilosopher.blogspot.com

Travel and Holiday Innovations

 

10 holiday ideas for the future

1. Your mobile is your passport
It’s also your boarding pass, immigration forms etc.

2. Suncream for oldies
There is sun cream for all skin types, sun conditions and even babies. Why not sun cream for those aged 65+? It changes colour when you’ve had enough sun.

3. Digital deckchairs
Built in sleep/sun exposure timer, sensors and GPS so it knows when it’s not being used (and holiday makers can locate it using a smart phone), sockets to charge mobile devices. Future versions could change shape according to body size and weight.

4. Augmented reality sunglasses
Tells you who other people on the beach are using facial recognition. Can also overlay historical facts about places; show reviews for local cafes and bars, display maps and so on.

5. Tech-free tourism
Zoned ‘No Internet’ hotel floors (the joys of disconnection). Older hotels could also be sold to customers on the basis that they do NOT have Internet or Wi-Fi connections.

6. Holiday finance
Loans and easy payment terms for holidays. We take out secured loans for home improvements and cars, why not for our leisure?

7. Weather insurance for individual holidaymakers
“Spread bet” insurance – you pay for a policy and receive a payment for each day it rains or alternatively pay extra on your premium when the sun shines

8. Tourist Toggs
You fly without check-in bags, but your clothes are already at the resort – either they are sent in advance or you select what you need online and the hotel buys them for you. At the end of the holiday you can either have them washed and sent home (again no checked baggage) or donate them to local people in need.

9. Pay per kilo flights
The airline ticket cost depends on the combined weight of you and your luggage – another incentive to get serious about that pre-holiday diet.

10. Luggage with GPS fitted
So it/you knows where it is (no more lost bags). Can include a self-weighing facility and motorised wheels and guidance system so it can follow you around the airport and send an SOS to your mobile if you board a plane to Hawaii and it’s in a hold bound for Hanoi.

This is the eleventh and final post on the future of travel and holidays. If you would like a free pdf of the whole report – called Destinations 2030 – this will be available from next week. Please get in touch via “comments” below to reserve your copy.

 

Future of Travel (10)

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Key Trends for the Future of Travel & Holidays

1. Mobile me
In future everyone’s life will be carried in the palm of the hand. Access to information will define you and personal technology will be an ever-present companion – at home and on holiday. Wearable computing will be the norm.
Even more than today we will be “always on”, with technology providing a “sixth sense” in our lives, allowing us to operate as virtual beings. We will use mobile phones (which almost certainly will not look like the phones of today) to communicate, to inform our selves in real time about the world around us, to document the minutiae of our lives and above all to manage our finances. Ultimately, micro-technology will be embedded in our bodies.

2. Personalisation
The personalisation of everything will be the norm. The more of our data we submit to organisations, the more they will be able to tailor to our needs – whether they are ones we know about or not. The availability of 3-D printing, allied to higher level personal computing will allow us to be designers, creators and curators of our possessions and our surroundings. From mass production, to mass customisation, to micro-personalisation we will be able to express our individuality in every facet of our lives and this will include our holidays.

3. Flexibility
As our lives become more unpredictable, the more we will demand flexibility in every aspect of our lives – starting with the fundamentals. Our careers will be increasingly portfolio as we assemble a collage of skills. We may have returned to being a rental economy in our housing. We will see modular cars as the norm (and probably with short-term lease, rather than buy). As our working hours become more erratic (possibly with the expansion of “zero hours” into middle class life), we will become short-termist in our planning and this will include holidays.
We will expect to be able to change our minds up to the last minute, combine disparate destinations, alter our party make up and design, barter and bargain for deals. The challenge for companies will be to not just respond, but embed flexibility into every aspect of their offers.

4. Premiumisation
As we aspire to express our individuality, we can anticipate a future where premiumisation exists in every market. Having been told for years “you’re worth it”, we will come to believe it. Information accessibility will give us the tools to research and demand constant product and service improvements. Companies will have to be more transparent in every aspect of their offers and we will pick and choose the modular make – up of our lives. In our holidays we will want the option to upgrade everything. Exclusivity will be sought at every stage of the process. We will not just pay for quality, but also for scarcity and rareness. Time, space, solitude will be aspirational as we live in a more crowded and full on world.

5. (Re)connection
In the future we will be alone together. We will live fragmented lives in a digitally joined up world. Nuclear families will have become atomised, we be worried about work/life balance and we will struggle to distinguish between both. While some will thrive on stress, it will begin to be seen as a killer disease. Holidays will, as never before, offer an antidote to this for many. A rare opportunity for real time, rather than virtual, connection with friends, family and ourselves.

6. Discovery
While sea, sun and sand will continue to be the main ingredient in many holidays, a growing number of us will have a nagging desire for more significant experiences. We may want to discover unfamiliar countries, get a fleeting feeling of being an insider and part of a different type of community. Adventure with a small or large ‘a’ will be part of the mix of future holidays. For families in particular, exploration will have to be safe and from trusted providers. We may be looking to expand our mental horizons, absorb culture and learning. Agri-tourism and eco-tourism are just a couple of examples. Increasingly we will want to return from our holidays as different people – more experienced, more rounded – and not just in the waistline.

7. Simplification
If we think we are subject to information overload now, the future has the potential to boggle our minds. Services that make our lives easier, that know or can intuit our preferences and take the burden of decision making from us will be prized. Brands that we can trust to know us better than we know ourselves, that act as avatars and filters, will be rewarded with loyalty and bonding. We will seek out experiences that are pared down to their bare essentials as an antidote to complexity. A new cult of minimalism. In holidays, access to peace will be as precious to some as access to premium services. We may be prepared to pay to be deprived of technology, just to have a few hours away from screens in techno – retreats. Escape will be rare, hard to find and either extremely primitive and cheap, or extremely cushioned and expensive.

List by Richard Watson and Andrew Crosthwaite.

To be continued…