Obituary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anthony Wiener, who looked into the future in 1967, has died aged 81. He will be largely remembered for his book The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty Three Years, which was co-written with Herman Kahn in 1967. He got things about 50% right, including the suggestion that automated banking, personal pagers and “perhaps even pocket phones” might appear by the year 2000.

Kahn, by the way, was partly responsible for the development of early game theory and it was Kahn who popularised the term “scenario.’ As Kees van der Heijden points out in Scenarios, the Art of Strategic Thinking, the term reinforced Khan’s belief that he did not make predictions, but instead created stores for people to explore.

Stanley Kubrick used Khan as partial inspiration for a character Dr Stangelove.

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